Analysts predicts Bitcoin’s current support level $97K; could it hit a new ATH soon?

Ali, a crypto analyst, points to Bitcoin’s potential support level at $97,530 as key in sustaining the current bullish momentum. The main support level to be monitored for Bitcoin is $97,530. Staying over this level is critical to keeping the current bullish momentum afloat, believes Ali.

Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading in a tight range since hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of $109K on Jan. 20, 2025, and is now quoted at $105,128.95 as of Jan. 24. This reflects a 3.5% decline from the previous high, as per CoinMarketCap

Understanding Bitcoin’s support level 

In crypto trading, support levels are an important price point, where buying demand usually increases. Should BTC remain above this significant threshold, it may continue its trajectory upward, with investors feeling confident in this bullish decision. This level is a key litmus test of BTC’s market strength during volatility.

As posted by analyst Ali, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) informs traders of where Bitcoin holders purchased their BTC or last moved their BTC. It indicates the number of BTC that have last moved to wallets priced at various price levels.


A bar chart showing the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) for Bitcoin, partitioned by all-time highs (ATH). The orange bars represent the volume of Bitcoin realized at specific price ranges, with peaks highlighting significant accumulation zones.
Bitcoin UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) chart, partitioned by ATH levels. This visualization highlights areas of strong on-chain activity, reflecting key accumulation and distribution zones. Data source: @ali_charts

At $97,530, the URPD chart shows a cluster of activity, which means many investors bought or are sitting on a holding of BTC around this level. Strong buying interest at this level reinforces its role as a psychological and technical support.

Bitcoin mimicking past ATH trend

The behavior around $97,530 mimics that seen in previous ATH consolidation phases for BTC. As with prior cycles, the price is stabilizing near a supportive zone with the potential for an upside. This level showed strong buyer confidence, though there are some light pullbacks. 


A candlestick chart showing the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a daily timeframe. The chart highlights key levels, including fair value gaps (FVG) marked in green and a resistance zone around $110,000 highlighted in yellow. The current price is $105,433 as of January 24, 2025.
Bitcoin price analysis on the daily chart. The price is approaching a resistance zone near $110,000, with several fair value gaps (FVG) identified as potential support levels. Current price: $105K. Sourced from TradingView by crypto.news

Analyzing sell-side risk of Bitcoin

The Sell-Side Risk Ratio, which measures the pressure from investors who are liquidating holdings, has declined as the amount of BTC sent to exchanges for sale has fallen. Such diminishing sell-side pressure is bolstering the current price stability of BTC. Glassnode also highlights shrinking volatility metrics, with BTC trading in an exceptionally narrow 60-day price range, which is often a precursor to significant market events.


A historical chart illustrating Bitcoin's sell-side risk ratio, overlaid with BTC price data from 2010 to 2025. The sell-side risk ratio (orange line) fluctuates significantly, indicating periods of high and low selling pressure. Key thresholds for low and high value realization are marked by red and blue lines, respectively. The BTC price (gray line) is displayed on a logarithmic scale, correlating with shifts in the sell-side risk ratio.
Bitcoin sell-side risk ratio chart, showcasing market behavior over time. The orange line highlights shifts in selling pressure, while the gray line traces BTC’s price trajectory. Red and blue thresholds indicate critical levels of market realization. Data source: Glassnode by crypto.news

Will Bitcoin sustain the bull run?

To reiterate crypto analyst Ali, the ongoing bull run will largely depend on whether BTC can maintain its key support level at $97,530. On-chain fundamental data confirms diminished sell-side pressure and consistent accumulation by long-term holders as indicators that the market is in a solid position to sustain upward movement.

If this level is maintained as support, then BTC could see a retest and a new market peak towards its former all-time high, boosting the ongoing bullish run. However, failing to hold $97,530 could introduce risks to the bull run. 

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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